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Dołączył: 13 Gru 2010
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Wysłany: Pią 8:59, 17 Gru 2010 Temat postu: the odds are 1-in-120 |
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Uncovered: The Powerball Secret that convinced us to seriously change the way we play Powerball.The Real Truth about Lottery Odds convinced us to change the way we play. Dramatically. It will certainly convince you to do the same. To illustrate why, we use the USA Power Ball game as an example, but you will soon see the arguments apply to any 5-ball or 6-ball Lottery game.Consider this - the odds of getting the first 5 numbers in the 53-number USA Powerball game are 1-in-2,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych],869,685. The odds of getting the first 5 numbers AND the Power Ball are 1-in-120,526,770. That's the Truth but not the WHOLE Truth!For example, if First Prize is $10 Million, the odds are 1-in-120,526,770. If First Prize is $100 Million, the odds are STILL 1-in-120,526,770 - but now the reward is 10 times greater. So, are Odds the perfect measure? We think not. Does it matter ? We think so.The odds of 1-in-120,526,770 relate to buying ONE game. If you buy 10 games, your odds of winning First Prize are now 1-in-12,052,677. If you buy 100 games, your odds of winning First Prize fall to 1-in-1,205,268. As simple as it sounds, by using the info in the two paragraphs above, you can make a Quantum Leap in your Powerball Playing Strategy.We will now show you an example. Suppose your weekly budget for lotto is $20. To keep it simple, we will assume your lottery starts at $10 Million and increases every week by $5 Million. It goes for 10 weeks without being won. If you are like 99% of lotto players,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], this represents your playing strategy - or lack of it!.Odds for $1 You Play Your Odds First Prize120,526,770 $20 6,026,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych],338 $10 Million120,526,770 $20 6,026,338 $15 Million120,526,770 $20 6,026,338 $20 Million120,526,770 $20 6,026,338 $25 Million120,526,770 $20 6,026,338 $30 Million120,526,770 $20 6,026,338 $35 Million120,526,770 $20 6,026,338 $40 Million120,526,770 $20 6,026,338 $45 Million120,526,770 $20 6,026,338 $50 Million120,526,770 $20 6,026,338 $55 MillionTOTAL $200What if you changed your playing strategy, by matching your investment to the size of the First Prize? If you want to, you can do the six decimal places stuff, but we'll keep it simple by going with gut feeling. Your Odds with the new strategy might look like this ..Odds for $1 You Play Your Odds First Prize120,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych],526,770 $5 24,105,354 $10 Million120,526,770 $5 24,105,354 $15 Million120,526,770 $5 24,105,354 $20 Million120,526,770 $10 12,052,677 $25 Million120,526,770 $10 12,052,677 $30 Million120,526,770 $15 8,035,118 $35 Million120,526,770 $15 8,035,118 $40 Million120,526,770 $25 4,821,071 $45 Million120,526,770 $50 2,410,535 $50 Million120,526,770 $60 2,008,780 $55 MillionTOTAL $200Using this strategy, your Total Investment over ten weeks is still $200 - but your odds have lessened dramatically from week-to-week. Under the old system, the odds were 1-in-6,026,338 every week. Under the new system, the odds are much higher while the prize is peanuts - but much lower as First Prize climbs. On the 10th week, your odds are THREE times better at 1-in-2,008,780 than they were when playing $20 every week. "If First Prize is Peanuts - Play with Peanuts; If you are being offered a small fortune,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], play with a small fortune."ANOTHER MYTH"By Playing a System Entry Your Chances of Winning are Increased" Another Truth ...But not the WHOLE Truth.If you are playing a System 10, you pay for 252 games. Naturally you are increasing your chances of winning by 252 times (over a single game). But the advantage is from playing 252 games - regardless of how you play those games.1. When you play 252 random games, or even Auto-Pick games,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], your odds of winning are 1-in-478,281 (120,526,770 divided by 252). 2. When you play the 252 games in a System 10, your odds of winning are still 1-in-478,281 (120,526,770 divided by 252). 3. When you play 252 games in an organized systematical way, your odds of winning are still 1-in-478,281 (120,526,770 divided by 252).We now need to consider the tactical advantages & disadvantages in those three choices. First, Random or Auto-Pick entries have no guarantee whatsoever, other than a 1-in-478,281 chance of winning.By playing a System Entry, the biggest advantage is maximizing the number of prizes you win. However, whether you play a System 8 or a System 20 remember, there is only ONE First Division prize; all additional Prizes are in the lower divisions. And it is still a CONDITIONAL guarantee - you win IF you trap the winning numbers, but you could end up without a single winning number.With an Organized, Systematical entry that lottery books promote, your biggest advantage is a guarantee of a Prize of some kind. If you simply play 2 of the 110-game entries recommended at [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] then your 220 games absolutely guarantee several small prizes. Toss in 32 additional games and you have exactly the same chance of First Prize as a System 10 entry - 252 chances-in-120,526,770. The big advantage is that 1 or more games in each 110-game set is 40% or better on the way to First Prize; you are absolutely guaranteed 2, 3, 4, or all 5 winning numbers from playing ALL the numbers in a mathematical matrix that gives a guaranteed result - and a guaranteed payout.In addition,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], those 252 organized games mean you can use all 42 Power Balls 6 times - with a System 10, you get just one Power Ball. So, if you are organized and play 42 Power Balls 6 times, you pick up $18 from getting the Power Ball correct 6 times. You also collect from having Two or more winning numbers correct at least twice. Because the system uses all 53 numbers, you have done everything possible to maximize your chances.For most of us, playing 252 games every week is not financiaaly viable, unless you are playing a Group Entry. We s[link widoczny dla zalogowanych]est one of these approaches. The first is for playing alone, using the "What Works Eight Weeks out of Ten" approach. This can start as low as 9 games and build in sets of 9 games, making it an ideal strategy for starting low and building up as First Prize increases.Second, a strategy for playing as a Group Entry. The 110-game entry guarantees 2 or more numbers together, often more than once, plus it guarantees you get the Power Ball at least twice. By playing all 53 numbers you make sure you have all the winners somewhere in your entry, all organized in the best possible way. This approach is ideal for a small group.As soon as the First Prize has jackpotted to gigantic proportions,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], we recommend moving up to the 1325-game entry that guarantees Three or more of the first Five winning numbers. From here, what are your chances of Four winning numbers ? We guarantee Three winning numbers together. There are 2 winning numbers left in the remaining 50 balls - So your chances are 2-in-50 or 1-in-25. The chances of that critical Fifth ball are then 1-in-49. Agreed, you still have to get the power ball, but knowing you have 60% or more of the first 5 winning numbers before a ball is even drawn - that's a good starting position! This 1325-game entry demands serious organization, and may need 40-50 members to get the funding together; these arrangements need to be in place well before you need it.Your final choice is using lottery software or books to create several reduced-guarantee lotto systems. For example, with 53 numbers you could have three sets of 18 numbers (one number played twice). Your advantage here is that if you get all the winning numbers in one set of 18 numbers, your odds of First Prize are much higher than playing 53 numbers together. If your lottery only has 36 balls, 2 sets of 18 numbers guarantees a prize (your worst split is 3 balls / 2 balls - and your best 5 balls / 0 balls!). A second advantage is reducing the cost. Most lottery software or lotto books would have several systems for 18 numbers, one of which should fit your budget. Of course, 3 sets of 18 numbers is just one example - four sets of 13 numbers equals 52 numbers, allowing you to play all but one of the 53 numbers in the USA Powerball game.Whether you are playing a game with 25 numbers, 59 numbers or anything in between, you can adapt this strategy to fit your lottery and budget. The book "Powerball Strategies" (available at [link widoczny dla zalogowanych]) outlines the above strategy in more detail and has more than 20 systems that can be used with any 5-ball game.
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